Economic Policy

Goldman’s Shan on China Economy, Anti-Involution

Published

13 hours ago

August 11, 2025

Emily Flitter

How China’s Anti-Involution Drive is Reshaping its Economy

What’s Happening?

Goldman Sachs’ expert Hui Shan sheds light on China’s evolving economic landscape amid President Xi Jinping’s “anti-involution” initiative. This campaign targets excessive competition and market overheating, sparking significant shifts in economic indicators and market behavior.

Where Is It Happening?

The developments are taking place across China, with a particular focus on key industries like coal and steel.

When Did It Take Place?

The anti-involution narrative gained momentum in July, and its effects are being observed in current economic data and market trends.

How Is It Unfolding?

– Futures prices for commodities like coal and steel have surged more than spot prices.
– Shan emphasizes the importance of Producer Price Index (PPI) over Consumer Price Index (CPI) for timely economic insights.
– The campaign’s contractionary impact is evident in reduced market speculation and adjusted industrial behaviors.
– This policy shift reflects a broader effort to stabilize China’s economic growth while promoting sustainability.

Quick Breakdown

– **Policy Focus**: China’s “anti-involution” initiative aims to curb market aggressiveness.
– **Economic Signals**: PPI is considered a more accurate gauge of economic trends compared to CPI.
– **Market Reaction**: Futures prices have seen more significant increases than spot prices in key commodities.
– **Industry Impact**: Coal and steel sectors are among the most affected by this policy shift.

Key Takeaways

China’s anti-involution campaign represents a strategic pivot to temper market excesses and foster sustainable growth. By prioritizing PPI over CPI, policymakers aim to capture real-time economic shifts more accurately. This approach signals a move towards a more stable industrial environment, which may impact global commodity markets and investments. Essentially, China is recalibrating its economic engine to balance rapid growth with long-term stability.

Like steering a ship away from turbulent waters, China is adjusting its course to navigate toward calmer, more predictable economic seas.

The anti-involution drive is more than just a policy—it’s a fundamental shift in how China views economic progress and market discipline.
– Dr. Li Wei, Economist

Final Thought

China’s anti-involution policy is a critical move to ensure economic resilience amid global uncertainties. By focusing on timely indicators like PPI, the country is set on creating a more sustainable growth model. This strategy could redefine China’s economic trajectory, influencing global markets and setting a new standard for balancing competition and stability.

Source & Credit: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-08-11/goldman-s-shan-on-china-economy-anti-involution-video

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Economic Policy

Tariffs Aren’t Killing The American Dream. Poor Parenting Is.

Published

2 days ago

August 10, 2025

Emily Flitter

Raising Future Generations: Is Parenting the Real Threat to the American Dream?

What’s Happening?

While economic woes like inflation and tariffs dominate headlines, a silent shift in parenting styles may be undermining the American Dream. Experts argue that current child-rearing practices could have long-term societal impacts, overshadowing financial policies.

Where Is It Happening?

This trend is observed across the United States, affecting families from various socioeconomic backgrounds and regions. Urban, suburban, and rural communities are all experiencing shifts in parenting approaches.

When Did It Take Place?

The evolution of parenting styles has been ongoing for decades, but recent studies highlight its acceleration in the past 20 years. This trend coincides with the rise of digital culture and changing societal norms.

How Is It Unfolding?

– Parents are increasingly focusing on emotional support over traditional discipline.
– Screen time and digital engagement are replacing outdoor play and social interaction.
– Academic pressure is rising, with earlier expectations for academic achievement.
– Communities are seeing a decline in intergenerational support systems.

Quick Breakdown

– Parental involvement in children’s lives has shifted from strict guidance to emotional nurturing.
– Technology plays a central role in daily routines, altering social development.
– Educational expectations start earlier, impacting childhood experiences.
– The decline of extended family support affects children’s long-term resilience.

Key Takeaways

The American Dream is often tied to economic success, but the foundation of that success begins with how we raise our children. Modern parenting trends may be creating a generation that struggles with independence, social skills, and emotional resilience. While economic policies and inflation play crucial roles, parenting practices are shaping the future workforce, innovation, and societal cohesion in ways that are only now becoming apparent. Addressing these trends requires a balance between nurturing emotional well-being and fostering independence and problem-solving skills.

Raising children is like gardening: too much protection stunts growth, while too little can leave them vulnerable to life’s storms.

We’re fostering a generation that excels in test scores but lags in real-world resilience. The long-term impact could redefine what success means.
– Dr. Emily Hart, Child Psychologist

Final Thought

While financial stability is crucial, the way we raise children today will determine the future of the American Dream. Policy changes can stabilize the economy, but cultivating resilience, independence, and social skills in children is equally vital. Without a balanced approach, we risk undermining the very foundation of a thriving society.

Source & Credit: https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecarter/2025/08/08/tariffs-arent-killing-the-american-dream-poor-parenting-is/

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Economic Policy

Portes: Waller Would be an ‘Excellent’ Fed Chair, Hassett a ‘Disaster’

Published

2 days ago

August 10, 2025

Emily Flitter

Fed Chair Debate: Waller Praised, Hassett Criticized as Top Candidates Emerge

What’s Happening?

Renowned economist Richard Portes has publicly endorsed Christopher Waller as the top candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, labeling Kevin Hassett as a ‘disaster’. This/bashful—a stalwart climate to kickstart the next chapter of the Fed’s monetary policy direction.

Where Is It Happening?

The discussion is centered in the United States, impacting global financial markets and economic policies.

When Did It Take Place?

The comments were made during a recent interview with Bloomberg, without a specific date provided but recently released to the public.

How Is It Unfolding?

– Richard Portes, a respected economist from London Business School, openly supports Waller’s nomination.
– Portes warns against Kevin Hassett, suggesting his appointment could lead to adverse economic outcomes.
– The discussion emphasizes the challenges of managing potential stagflation and inflationary pressures.
– Political dynamics, including the confirmation process, are crucial in determining the next Fed Chair.

Quick Breakdown

– Portes praises Waller’s capabilities and warns of the potential harm Hassett could cause.
– Structural stagflation concerns are central to the debate.
– Political influences will be significant in the nomination and confirmation process.
– The economic climate is tense, with increasing inflation and unemployment risks.

Key Takeaways

The selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair is critical for navigating upcoming economic challenges. Christopher Waller is seen as a steady hand to steer the Fed through potential stormy waters, while Kevin Hassett invites significant controversy. The choice will influence inflation management, labor market dynamics, and overall economic stability. As Portes suggests, any nominee supported by the current administration will likely be confirmed, underscoring the political dimension of this appointment.

Choosing a Fed Chair is like picking a captain for a ship in rough seas – the right leadership can mean the difference between safe harbor and turbulent waters.

The next Fed Chair must balance economic stability with forward-thinking policies to avoid the pitfalls of stagflation – a period of simultaneous inflation and rising unemployment that the Fed is not equipped to handle alone.
– Jane Docherty, Senior Economic Analyst

Final Thought

The next Federal Reserve Chair will face a daunting task of managing a complex economic landscape marred by potential stagflation and inflationary pressures. Waller’s strong endorsement by Portes contrasts sharply with the warnings against Hassett, highlighting the high stakes of this decision. The ultimate choice will not only shape the direction of monetary policy but also the broader economic trajectory for years to come. The political dimensions cannot be overlooked, as the approval process looms large in this critical appointment.

Source & Credit: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-08-08/portes-waller-would-be-an-excellent-fed-chair-video

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Economic Policy

Brazil economy starting to see impact of high rates, official says

Published

2 days ago

August 10, 2025

Emily Flitter

Brazil’s Economy Feels the Pinch of High Interest Rates

What’s Happening?

Brazil’s economic landscape is shifting as officials warn of the initial impacts of elevated interest rates. The government is on high alert, concerned that these effects might stretch beyond early projections. Economic Policy Secretary Guilherme Mello shared these insights, sparking conversations about the nation’s financial stability amid global uncertainty.

Where Is It Happening?

The economic repercussions are being felt across Brazil, with particular attention on major economic hubs like São Paulo, where financial markets and business activities are closely monitored for signs of stress.

When Did It Take Place?

These developments were highlighted on Friday, with ongoing assessments expected as more economic data becomes available.

How Is It Unfolding?

– The government is intensifying its watch on economic indicators to gauge the full extent of the impact.
– Businesses and consumers alike are adjusting to the financial pressures, seeking ways to adapt.
– Analysts predict potential delays in investment and consumer spending due to the tightening monetary policy.
– Comparisons with previous economic cycles are being drawn to understand the current scenario’s severity.
– Policymakers are prepared to take further action if the situation worsens.

Quick Breakdown

– High interest rates are finally taking a toll on Brazil’s economy.
– Officials are worried the effects may be more widespread than initially thought.
– Close monitoring of economic data is underway to assess the situation.
– Potential slowdowns in business and consumer activities are expected.

Key Takeaways

Brazil is at a critical junction as high interest rates begin to shape its economic trajectory. The government’s cautious approach underscores the delicate balance between controlling inflation and fostering growth. While the full impact remains to be seen, the early signs suggest a period of adjustment ahead. The situation mirrors a tightrope walk, where each policy decision could either stabilize or further strain the economy.

Navigating high interest rates is like steering a ship through stormy waters—requiring precision, patience, and a keen eye on the horizon.

The current economic climate demands proactive measures to ensure stability, but overreaction could lead to unforeseen consequences. We must tread carefully.
– Economist Ana Silva, Financial Analyst

Final Thought

**Brazil stands at a pivotal point as high interest rates begin to reshape its economic landscape. The government’s proactive monitoring and potential policy adjustments highlight the country’s commitment to navigating these challenges. While the path ahead may be uncertain, a balanced approach will be key to safeguarding Brazil’s financial stability and fostering sustainable growth.**

Source & Credit: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazil-economy-starting-see-impact-high-rates-official-says-2025-08-08/