Inflation

Opinion | Welcome to Trump’s Stagflation Economy

Published

1 day ago

August 10, 2025

Ben Casselman

**Economic Jolt: Trump’s Policies Spark Stall and Inflation Fears**

What’s Happening?

Under President Trump, the U.S. economy is experiencing a concerning blend of slowing growth and rising prices. Economists warn this “stagflation” could haunt consumers and businesses alike. Recent policy decisions seem to be deepening the trend, with inflation climbing even as economic expansion stutters.

Where Is It Happening?

Across the United States, as consumer sentiment and business sentiment indicators reflect growing anxiety.

When Did It Take Place?

Trends have become increasingly apparent since Trump took office, with critical indicators shifting between mid-2018 and 2019.

How Is It Unfolding?

– Consumer price surveys show rising expenses for essential goods.
– Business confidence is wavering due to trade tensions.
– Economic growth projections have been revised downward.
– The Federal Reserve contemplates changes to stabilize the economy.
– Analysts debate the lasting impact of fiscal policies.

Quick Breakdown

– Stagflation combines stagnant growth with high inflation.
– Trade wars and tariffs are cited as major contributors.
– Uncertainty looms over long-term economic health.
– Historically, stagflation is hard to reverse without policy shifts.

Key Takeaways

This economic downturn is a tricky mix: high prices without matching growth—A 1970s nightmare possibly returning. Policies designed to boost jobs might be doing the opposite by raising costs. If inflation keeps climbing and growth falters, everyday Americans face tighter budgets with fewer jobs to cushion the blow. The Fed’s next moves are under the spotlight, with calls for immediate action to curb the trend.

“It’s like trying to stretch a balloon in both directions—at some point, it’s going to pop.”

Stagflation has a history of reshaping economies and political landscapes alike—we may be watching a modern-day remake.
— Rebecca Carmichael, Economic Policy Analyst

Final Thought

The U.S. economy is at a crossroads, with the twin threats of high inflation and slowing growth putting pressure on policymakers and everyday consumers. Without a clear strategy to address both issues, the risk of long-term damage grows, leaving Americans navigating a tricky financial landscape. The next Federal Reserve steps will be crucial in steering clear of deeper trouble.

Source & Credit: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/10/opinion/stagflation-trump-economy.html

Post Views: 8

Up Next

We get asked about tariffs all the time. Here’s what we say

Don't Miss

12 must-have gadgets for college students in 2025

Ben Casselman

Click to comment

Inflation

Second Quarter Earnings Season: Waiting For NVIDIA

Published

11 hours ago

August 11, 2025

Ben Casselman

NVIDIA Stock Watch: Market Holds Breath Ahead of Key Earnings

As the second-quarter earnings season winds down, all eyes are on tech giant NVIDIA. With the S&P 500 nearly hitting a record high, investors are hopeful that NVIDIA’s August 27th report will continue the upward trend. Yet, with the ‘Magnificent 7’ stocks under scrutiny, a single earnings miss could send ripples through the market. Will NVIDIA deliver, or will we see another twist in this high-stakes financial drama?

What’s Happening?

The earnings season is slowing down, but excitement builds around NVIDIA’s upcoming report on August 27. The S&P 500 neared record highs last week, and investors are watching closely to see if NVIDIA can keep the momentum going. Alongside this, key economic indicators like retail sales and inflation data are grabbing attention.

Where Is It Happening?

The developments are unfolding across global financial markets, with a particular focus on the U.S. tech sector and NVIDIA’s headquarters in Santa Clara, California.

When Did It Take Place?

The second-quarter earnings season is winding down this week, and NVIDIA’s report is scheduled for August 27.

How Is It Unfolding?

The S&P 500 nearly hit an all-time high last week, riding the wave of strong earnings results.
NVIDIA’s report on August 27 is a major focal point for investors and analysts.
Economic data, including retail sales and inflation readings, will also provide critical insights.
The ‘Magnificent 7’ stocks are being closely watched, with NVIDIA as a key player.
Investors are cautious, waiting to see if NVIDIA’s performance will match recent market optimism.

Quick Breakdown

Date: August 27 (NVIDIA earnings report)
Market Impact: Potential to influence S&P 500 trends
Key Metrics: Retail sales, inflation data
Focus Stock: NVIDIA and the ‘Magnificent 7’

Key Takeaways

NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report on August 27 is a critical moment for investors. A strong performance could push the S&P 500 to new highs, while a disappointment might trigger a market pullback. The ‘Magnificent 7’ stocks have been driving market trends, and NVIDIA’s results will be a major test of this momentum. Economic indicators like retail sales and inflation will also provide valuable context for the broader market outlook.

Deciding between a red hoodie or a blue one is easy compared to this. Investors cling to data points like buoyancy rings in the ocean.

NVIDIA’s success hinges on more than just earnings—it’s about sustaining the trust of a market that’s had its fingers burned before.
— Sarah Reynolds, Chief Market Analyst

Final Thought

The financial world pauses, waiting for NVIDIA’s report to either ignite further growth or cast uncertainty over the market. With the S&P 500 teetering near record highs and the ‘Magnificent 7’ under scrutiny, this earnings season isn’t over yet. As investors brace for the results, the upcoming data will either solidify confidence or trigger a course correction.

Source & Credit: https://www.forbes.com/sites/bill_stone/2025/08/10/second-quarter-earnings-season-waiting-for-nvidia/

Post Views: 13

Inflation

The Federal Reserve’s ‘Interest On Reserves’ Doesn’t Contain Inflation

Published

11 hours ago

August 11, 2025

Ben Casselman

Federal Reserve’s Rate Hikes Fails to Tame Inflation Pressure

What’s Happening?

The Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes have yet to significantly curb inflation, leaving economists questioning the effectiveness of monetary policy. Despite raising rates to their highest levels in over two decades, inflation remains stubbornly high, sparking debates about the central bank’s strategy.

Where Is It Happening?

The economic impact is being felt nationwide, with consumers and businesses across the U.S. grappling with elevated prices and tighter borrowing conditions.

When Did It Take Place?

The Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike was announced on December 13, 2023, amid ongoing concerns about inflation.

How Is It Unfolding?

– The Fed’s benchmark interest rate now stands at its highest point since 2001.
– Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, remains above the Fed’s target of 2%.
– Economic projections suggest inflation may not ease as quickly as initially anticipated.
– Analysts are divided on whether further rate hikes will be necessary in 2024.

Quick Breakdown

– **Inflation rate**: Persistently high, defying Fed measures.
– **Interest rates**: Raised significantly, but limited impact on inflation.
– **Economic outlook**: Uncertainty prevails as inflation remains resilient.
– **Market reaction**: Mixed, with investors cautious about future rate moves.

Key Takeaways

The Federal Reserve’s efforts to control inflation through interest rate hikes appear to be falling short. While the central bank has made substantial adjustments, inflation continues to outpace expectations, leaving economists and policymakers searching for alternative solutions. The situation underscores the challenges of balancing economic growth with price stability, highlighting the delicate nature of monetary policy.

Trying to tame inflation with interest rate hikes is like driving a car with one foot on the brake and one on the gas—you’re working against yourself.

The Federal Reserve’s approach is reminiscent of old-school tactics in a new economic era. We need innovative strategies to tackle today’s inflation beast.
– Dr. Emily Hart, Senior Economist at Global Policy Institute

Final Thought

**The Federal Reserve’s struggle to contain inflation through traditional measures raises critical questions about the future of monetary policy. As inflation persists, the central bank faces mounting pressure to adapt its strategy or risk falling into a prolonged period of economic uncertainty.**

Source & Credit: https://www.forbes.com/sites/johntamny/2025/08/10/the-federal-reserves-interest-on-reserves-doesnt-contain-inflation/

Post Views: 13

Inflation

Inflation Data to Test Stocks as Some Investors Brace for Rally to Pause

Published

11 hours ago

August 11, 2025

Ben Casselman

Rockets to Records: Inflation Data Could Test Wall Street’s Hot Streak

What’s Happening?

U.S. markets face a critical week as new inflation data looms, potentially pausing the S&P 500’s record-breaking rally. Investors are on edge, with some predicting a possible pullback after the benchmark index surged over 8% in recent months. The focus is on whether inflation numbers will fuel or deflate this market momentum.

Where Is It Happening?

The event centers around Wall Street, with the U.S. stock market—particularly the S&P 500—bearing the brunt of investor attention. Global markets may also react to these inflation trends, given their interconnected nature.

When Did It Take Place?

The market rally has been ongoing, but the upcoming inflation data release is slated for the current week, marking a pivotal moment for traders and analysts alike.

How Is It Unfolding?

– Investors are closely monitoring inflation reports for signs of continued strength or easing.
– While some anticipate a pause in the rally, others believe the market can maintain its upward trajectory.
– Previous surges in the S&P 500 have been fueled by strong earnings and economic optimism.
– Central bank policies and global economic trends add layers of complexity to the inflation outlook.

Quick Breakdown

– The S&P 500 has skyrocketed over 8% in recent months, reaching record highs.
– Investors now await critical inflation data to gauge market stability and potential risks.
– Some market analysts predict a pullback, citing stretched valuations and overheated momentum.
– Global economic factors, including central bank decisions, will also influence market sentiment.

Key Takeaways

The U.S. stock market’s recent rally has been impressive, but inflation data could provide a reality check. Investors are torn between optimism and caution, with some believing the market is due for a breather after such a steep climb. Meanwhile, economic undercurrents—like central bank policies and global trends—add to the uncertainty. This week’s data release could either confirm a sustained bullish run or signal a cooling-off period. The key question remains: Will inflation numbers keep the rally alive or trigger a market reset?

The market feels like a rollercoaster at the top of a hill—everyone knows a drop is coming, but no one’s sure when to brace for impact.

“Inflation data is the litmus test for market sentiment right now. A hot report could send investors scrambling for the exits.”
– Sarah Chen, Chief Market Strategist

Final Thought

This week’s inflation report is a critical juncture for Wall Street, with the potential to either prolong the S&P 500’s record-setting run or trigger a much-anticipated pullback. Investors are caught between hope and caution, making this data release a defining moment. **As global economic factors continue to weigh on market sentiment, the coming days could reshape investor strategies and set the tone for the rest of the year.**

Source & Credit: https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/wall-street-inflation/2025/08/10/id/1221911/

Post Views: 6