Economic Policy

Watch September Cut is the Right Thing to Do: Berro

Published

3 hours ago

August 8, 2025

Fed Rate Cut in September: Is It the Right Move?

Like a lifeguard assessing the waves before diving in, the Fed is weighing its options as markets anticipate a rate cut.

What’s Happening?

Political economist, Kelsey Berro discusses the September Fed rate cut and market expectations on ‘Surveillance’.

Where Is It Happening?

The discussions and analyses are being led on Bloomberg’s ‘Surveillance’ by Kelsey Berro, a Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, alongside Lisa Abramowicz and Annmarie Hordern.

When Did It Take Place?

The conversation took place in real-time during the broadcast of ‘Surveillance’ on Bloomberg.

How Is It Unfolding?

Markets are pricing in a 95% chance of a Fed rate cut in September.
Kelsey Berro argues that a rate cut is the appropriate move.
The discussion focuses on the timing and implications of the Fed’s decision.
Macroeconomic factors and policy volatility are key topics of analysis.

Quick Breakdown

The Fed’s September meeting is a major economic event.
A rate cut could stimulate economic growth but also risks overheating.
Market expectations are heavily influencing policy decisions.
The conversation highlights the challenges of navigating uncertain economic conditions.

Key Takeaways

The Federal Reserve’s potential rate cut in September is almost a certainty, according to market expectations. Kelsey Berro of JPMorgan Asset Management supports this move, suggesting it’s the right thing to do. The decision reflects a delicate balance between stimulating the economy and avoiding potential risks. The discussion on Bloomberg’s ‘Surveillance’ underscores the significance of macroeconomic trends and the Fed’s policy actions. As the world watches, the outcome could have far-reaching implications for global financial markets. It’s a high-stakes moment that requires careful consideration and strategic foresight, much like navigating a tightrope.

Balancing act the fed decides whether to walk the line between economic stimulus and overheating markets.

The Fed must walk a fine line between supporting growth and precipitating a boom-bust cycle with this rate cut.
– Kelsey Berro, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management
Advertisement

Final Thought

The Fed’s potential rate cut in September is a pivotal moment that could steer the economy in a new direction. With markets already pricing in a high likelihood of this move, the decision hinges on careful analysis of current economic conditions. Whether this cut sparks growth or risks instability remains to be seen. The world will be watching as the Fed makes its move, and the outcomes will shape financial strategies for months to come.

Post Views: 15

Up Next

US applications for jobless benefits up but still at healthy level

Don't Miss

US applications for unemployment benefits rise modestly last week

Emily Flitter

Click to comment

Economic Policy

Trump’s defense of firing BLS chief relies on twisted timeline

Published

3 hours ago

August 8, 2025

Emily Flitter

Trump’s Firing of BLS Chief Stirs Fears of Data Manipulation

What’s Happening?

Former President Donald Trump’s abrupt dismissal of Erika McEntarfer, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) commissioner, has sparked concerns about the politicization of crucial economic data. Trump alleged the agency’s unemployment reports were biased against his administration, a claim met with skepticism by economists and data experts. The move has raised alarms over the independence of federal statistical agencies and the trustworthiness of key economic indicators.

Where Is It Happening?

The controversy is centered in Washington, D.C., where the BLS is headquartered. The implications of politicized data, however, extend nationwide, affecting businesses, policymakers, and everyday Americans who rely on accurate economic reports.

When Did It Take Place?

Trump announced McEntarfer’s removal in late 2020, just months before the presidential election. The timing has fueled speculation about potential political motivations behind the decision.

How Is It Unfolding?

– **Denials of Bias**: The BLS and other economists have firmly rejected Trump’s claims of data manipulation, citing the agency’s reputation for independence.
– **Legal Precedents**: The firing has reignited debates about the protection of nonpartisan agencies from executive influence.
– **Election Implications**: Critics argue the move could undermine voter confidence in economic data crucial for policy decisions.
– **Public Reaction**: Economists and lawmakers from both parties have expressed unease over the potential erosion of trust in government statistics.

Quick Breakdown

– **BLS Independence**: The agency is known for its rigorous, nonpartisan methods, making it a gold standard for economic data.
– **Trump’s Allegations**: He claimed the reports were “rigged,” though no evidence supports this.
– **Broader Impact**: The firing could set a precedent for future politicization of federal data.
– **Expert Concerns**: Economists warn that tampering with data risks misleading markets and policymakers.

Key Takeaways

Trump’s firing of the BLS chief has brought to light the delicate balance between political leadership and the integrity of governmental data. If economic reports like unemployment rates become politicized, businesses and officials might make decisions based on inaccurate information, leading to serious economic fallout. Trust in federal agencies is vital—not just for transparency but for the stability of the economy itself. This incident underscores the need for safeguards to protect nonpartisan institutions from external pressures.

Relying on flawed data is like trying to navigate without a map—you may end up far off course, with no idea how to get back.

“Manipulating economic data is like tampering with the foundation of a house—it might not collapse immediately, but the cracks will eventually show.”
– Dr. Sarah Whitmore, Economics Professor

Final Thought

The firing of the BLS commissioner is a stark reminder of the dangers when politics infiltrate nonpartisan institutions. Accurate economic data is the backbone of informed decision-making—without it, the foundation of our economy could crumble. Safeguarding the independence of agencies like the BLS is not just a matter of policy but a necessity to preserve public trust and economic stability.

Post Views: 4

Economic Policy

The Latest: US Import Taxes Hit Levels Not Seen in Nearly 100 Years

Published

3 hours ago

August 8, 2025

Emily Flitter

**Trump Hikes Import Taxes to Near-Century High Levels**

What’s Happening?

President Donald Trump has imposed sweeping tariffs on imports from nearly 100 countries, marking the highest import tax rate since the 1930s. This move comes as the fallout from prolonged tariff threats begins to ripple through the U.S. economy. Americans are now facing an average 18.3% increase on imported goods, a level not seen in almost a century. Industry experts warn of potential price surges and economic disruptions.

Where Is It Happening?

The tariffs affect the entire United States, as imported goods from nearly 100 nations face higher taxes. The ripple effects are expected to touch various industries nationwide.

When Did It Take Place?

The new tariffs were imposed on Thursday, building on the months-long tariff threats that have already begun to impact the U.S. economy.

How Is It Unfolding?

– The newly imposed taxes raise the average import duty to 18.3%, the highest since 1934.
– Economists predict significant price increases for consumers and businesses.
– Sectors like electronics, vehicles, and household goods are likely to be hardest hit.
– The move is part of a broader trade policy aimed at protecting U.S. industries.
– Some analysts fear retaliation from trade partners, potentially escalating tensions.

Quick Breakdown

– New tariffs cover imports from nearly 100 countries.
– Average import tax rate jumps to 18.3%, a near 100-year high.
– Consumer prices expected to surge due to the increased costs.
– U.S. economy already shows signs of strain from tariff-related uncertainty.
– Refer to this effort to bolster domestic industries amid international trade tensions.

Key Takeaways

The Trump administration’s decision to raise import taxes to levels not seen in nearly a century is a bold but contentious move. While the goal is to protect American industries and jobs, the immediate effect will likely be felt by consumers through higher prices. Businesses relying on imported goods will face increased costs, potentially leading to reduced margins or passed-on expenses. The long-term impact remains uncertain, but the potential for trade retaliation and economic disruption cannot be ignored. This measure comes at a time when the U.S. economy is already grappling with the fallout from prolonged trade tensions.

It’s like eating at a restaurant and finding out the bill includes a hefty 18% surcharge—unexpected, unwelcome, and certain to sour the experience.

“I understand the goal of protecting our industries, but these tariffs might just end up protecting us into stagnation.”
– Robert Graham, Trade Analyst

Final Thought

**The Trump administration’s dramatic increase in import taxes marks a turning point in trade policy, with consumers and businesses poised to feel the pinch. While the move aims to shield domestic industries, the short-term costs—rising prices and potential trade wars—could overshadow the long-term benefits. As the economy braces for impact, one thing is clear: this is a high-stakes gamble with far-reaching consequences.**

Post Views: 5

Economic Policy

The Trump-Backed Federal Budget Threatens Black Economic Progress. Here’s How Black Communities Can Reclaim Their Power

Published

3 hours ago

August 8, 2025

Emily Flitter

Trump-Era Budget Cuts Hit Black Communities Hard—How to Fight Back

What’s Happening?

The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” endorsed by former President Donald Trump, is poised to deliver a crushing blow to Black economic progress. This sweeping legislation has been accused of transferring wealth from the underprivileged to the affluent, mirroring historical economic disparities. Policy experts are now rallying to mitigate the fallout for Black families and communities.

Where Is It Happening?

The legislation’s impact spans nationwide, with particular strain on urban and low-income areas where Black communities are most concentrated.

When Did It Take Place?

Trump signed the bill into law in early July, setting the stage for far-reaching economic shifts.

How Is It Unfolding?

– Reductions in critical social programs that support Black families and households.
– Widening wealth gaps, as tax benefits disproportionately favor high-income earners.
– Grassroots movements are rallying to push for equitable policy reforms.
– Local advocates are striving to safeguard Black-owned businesses and entrepreneurs.

Quick Breakdown

– The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” prioritizes tax cuts for the wealthy over social safety nets.
– Black communities face heightened risk due to diminished access to vital resources.
– Advocacy groups are strategizing to counter the bill’s harmful impacts.
– Historical parallels are drawn between the law’s wealth transfer and past systemic inequities.

Key Takeaways

The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” reinforces long-standing economic disparities, stripping resources from those who need them most. This presents both a challenge and a moment for Black communities to unite and advocate for equitable policies. By leveraging collective influence and political engagement, they can push back against the bill’s regressive effects. Though the road ahead is difficult, there’s potential to turn this setback into a rallying cry for lasting change.

Like a sudden storm, this legislation threatens to uproot years of hard-won progress, but with resilience, Black communities can weather the turbulence and emerge stronger.

“This bill is a stark reminder of how policy decisions can deepen divides, but it’s also an opportunity to demand accountability and fairness.”
– Dr. Amelia Carter, Economic Policy Analyst

Final Thought

**This budget battle is more than just numbers—it’s a fight for fairness. As Black communities endure the crushing weight of these cuts, they must rally together, demand change, and reclaim their economic power. The path to justice won’t be easy, but through unity and unwavering resolve, progress is possible.**